Tulum · Month comparison
October vs November
November ranks #1 overall vs October at #8. The sweet spot transition: dry season returning, low crowds, good value — the locals' favourite.
October
#8 of 12 months
Strong option
Hurricane risk declining, still wet — best value for those willing to gamble on rain.
- ↑Día de Muertos preparations building through October; Tulum Pueblo altars and celebrations are genuinely beautiful
- ↑Hurricane risk falling week by week through October; late October feels significantly safer than September
November
#1 of 12 months
Best match
The sweet spot transition: dry season returning, low crowds, good value — the locals' favourite.
- ↑Día de Muertos (Nov 1–2) in Tulum Pueblo: stunning altars, marigold decorations, and genuine community celebration
- ↑Dry season increasingly establishing itself: sun-to-rain ratio swinging back in the traveller's favour
| Factor | October | November |
|---|---|---|
| Weather score | 4 | 7 |
| Value score | 8 | 7 |
| Crowd score | 8 | 7 |
| Events score | 5 | 7 |
| Atmosphere | 5 | 7 |
| Avg high temp | 31°C | 29°C |
| Monthly rain | 153mm | 71mm |
| Daily sunshine | 7hrs | 8hrs |
October trade-offs
- ↓Still very wet (153mm): afternoon rain sessions remain the norm through early October
- ↓Some tourist infrastructure only partially re-opening from September closures
- ↓Sargassum seaweed returns as winds change in October — beach quality variable
November trade-offs
- ↓Early November still sees meaningful rain (71mm) — not yet fully dry season reliability
- ↓Some beach clubs still on reduced wet-season schedules in early November
- ↓Water temperature at its lowest (still 27°C, but noticeable to those accustomed to August warmth)
Scores compare months within Tulum. Climate data: Open Meteo ERA5 30-year normals (1991–2020). Methodology →